|The Wizard of Odds℠ |
... calculating the exact overall probability of winning the Electoral College from over 72 quadrillion possible outcomes!
These market-based odds are updated every minute using PredictIt's contract pricing for each state.|
The electoral total for each candidate assumes the candidate will win the states in which they are currently favored.
Each state is colored in shades of blue or red, according to the magnitude of the probability of winning.
Each state/district has its own probability slider:
Move the slider all the way to the right to set the candidate's odds of winning to 100%.
Move the slider all the way to the left to set the candidate's odds to 0% and the opponent's odds to 100%.
The slider can also be set to any whole percentage probability between 0% and 100%.
As the slider moves, the state color, electoral total, and overall probability of winning are updated in real-time!
Moving one or more sliders "locks-in" the probabilities for those affected states.
"Live" data continues to update the remaining states unless disabled by the toggle switch.