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2020 Election

Updated through 10/24 - Here is a summary of our current analysis of the Presidential and Senate races:

PRESIDENT LPR's Poll-based Analysis Market-based Analyst-based Cook Inside Elections Sabato Real Clear Politics ELECTORAL VOTES BIDEN TRUMP TIE BIDEN TRUMP TIE BIDEN TRUMP Toss Up BIDEN TRUMP Toss Up BIDEN TRUMP Toss Up BIDEN TRUMP Toss Up Currently Favored Most Likely Win Probability 289 243 6 289 249   94.6% 5.1% 0.3% 290 248 304 234   80.4% 18.8% 0.8% 290 163 85             319 164 55             290 163 85             232 125 181             SENATE LPR's Poll-based Analysis Market-based Analyst-based Cook Inside Elections Sabato Real Clear Politics SEATS DEM REP TIE DEM REP TIE DEM REP Toss Up DEM REP Toss Up DEM REP Toss Up DEM REP Toss Up Currently Favored Projected Seats Win Probability 48 52 49.1 50.9   10.0% 66.7% 23.3% 50 50   50.9 49.1   57.9% 23.3% 18.8% 48 45 7 51.3 48.7   73.3% 8.0% 18.8% 50 48 2 50.7 49.3   57.8% 13.7% 28.5% 50 49 1 50.8 49.2   57.9% 15.3% 26.8% 45 46 8 49.4 50.6   22.8% 53.3% 23.9%