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2020 Election
Updated thru 9/27 - Here is a summary of our current analysis of the Presidential and Senate races:
PRESIDENTLPR's Poll-based
Analysis
Market-basedAnalyst-based
CookInside ElectionsSabatoReal Clear Politics
ELECTORAL VOTES BIDEN TRUMP TIE BIDEN TRUMP TIE BIDEN TRUMP Toss Up BIDEN TRUMP Toss Up BIDEN TRUMP Toss Up BIDEN TRUMP Toss Up
Currently Favored
Projected Seats
Win Probability
31620616
336.4201.6 
99.9%0.0%0.0%
290248
302.1235.9 
82.4%16.9%0.7%
29018761
   
   
31918831
   
   
26920366
   
   
222125191
   
   

SENATELPR's Poll-based
Analysis
Market-basedAnalyst-based
CookInside ElectionsSabatoReal Clear Politics
SEATS DEM REP TIE DEM REP TIE DEM REP Toss Up DEM REP Toss Up DEM REP Toss Up DEM REP Toss Up
Currently Favored
Projected Seats
Win Probability
51481
51.448.6 
78.1%5.4%16.5%
5050 
51.348.7 
65.7%17.5%16.8%
48475
50.449.6 
45.5%21.9%32.6%
48484
49.650.4 
22.7%46.2%31.0%
49492
49.850.2 
27.5%40.1%32.3%
46477
49.450.6 
20.5%53.0%26.5%


The Electoral College Daily Tracker (Poll-based):


Electoral College Probability Distribution (Poll-based):




The Electoral College Daily Tracker (Market-based):


Electoral College Probability Distribution (Market-based):




The Senate Daily Tracker (Poll-based):


Senate Probability Distribution (Poll-based):




The Senate Daily Tracker (Market-based):


Senate Probability Distribution (Market-based):




Senate Probability Distribution Cook Political Report:


Senate Probability Distribution Inside Elections:


Senate Probability Distribution Sabato:


Senate Probability Distribution Real Clear Politics: