Presidential Poll - Data Table: 5/21/24

State Electoral
   Votes
2024 Trend
  Change
2020 Vote
    Margin
Latest Poll
  Margin
Latest Poll
Odds
Latest Poll
 Rating
Alabama
9
5.9%
-25.5%
-19.6%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

Alaska
3
-0.2%
-10.1%
-10.3%
Trump 84%

7Lean Trump 

Arizona
11
-9.3%
0.3%
-9.0%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

Arkansas
6
-8.5%
-27.6%
-36.1%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

California
54
-10.3%
29.2%
18.9%
Biden 99%

1Safe Biden 

Colorado
10
-9.3%
13.5%
4.2%
Biden 72%

3Lean Biden 

Florida
30
-5.6%
-3.4%
-9.0%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

Georgia
16
-8.2%
0.2%
-8.0%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

Iowa
6
-6.8%
-8.2%
-15.0%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

Louisiana
8
3.6%
-18.6%
-15.0%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

Maine
2
6.9%
9.1%
16.0%
Biden 92%

2Likely Biden

Maryland
10
-15.8%
33.2%
17.4%
Biden 99%

1Safe Biden 

Massachusetts
11
-3.9%
33.5%
29.6%
Biden 99%

1Safe Biden 

Michigan
15
0.2%
2.8%
3.0%
Biden 80%

3Lean Biden 

Minnesota
10
0.5%
7.1%
7.6%
Biden 77%

3Lean Biden 

Missouri
10
-2.1%
-15.4%
-17.5%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

Nevada
6
-16.4%
2.4%
-14.0%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

New Hampshire
4
-5.4%
7.4%
2.0%
Biden 75%

3Lean Biden 

New Jersey
14
-10.7%
15.9%
5.2%
Biden 97%

2Likely Biden 

New York
28
-13.1%
23.1%
10.0%
Biden 99%

1Safe Biden 

North Carolina
16
-3.2%
-1.3%
-4.5%
Trump 89%

8Likely Trump 

Ohio
17
-2.6%
-8.0%
-10.6%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

Oklahoma
7
5.6%
-33.1%
-27.5%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

Pennsylvania
19
-5.2%
1.2%
-4.0%
Trump 92%

8Likely Trump 

South Dakota
3
-2.7%
-26.2%
-28.9%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

Tennessee
11
-1.3%
-23.2%
-24.5%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

Texas
40
-3.4%
-5.6%
-9.0%
Trump 99%

9Safe Trump 

Utah
6
12.8%
-20.5%
-7.7%
Trump 91%

8Likely Trump 

Vermont
3
-4.5%
35.4%
30.9%
Biden 99%

1Safe Biden 

Virginia
13
-3.9%
10.1%
6.2%
Biden 93%

2Likely Biden 

Wisconsin
10
0.4%
0.6%
1.0%
Biden 67%

4Tilt Biden