POLL-BASED
ODDS
MARKET-BASED
ODDS
ANALYST-BASED
ODDS
THE WIZARD
OF ODDS ℠
THE SENATE
WIZARD ℠
OUR TRACK
RECORD
ABOUT
US
2020 Election
Updated through 10/24 - Here is a summary of our current analysis of the Presidential and Senate races:
PRESIDENTLPR's Poll-based
Analysis
Market-basedAnalyst-based
CookInside ElectionsSabatoReal Clear Politics
ELECTORAL VOTES BIDEN TRUMP TIE BIDEN TRUMP TIE BIDEN TRUMP Toss Up BIDEN TRUMP Toss Up BIDEN TRUMP Toss Up BIDEN TRUMP Toss Up
Currently Favored
Most Likely
Win Probability
2892436
289249 
94.6%5.1%0.3%
290248
304234 
80.4%18.8%0.8%
29016385
   
   
31916455
   
   
29016385
   
   
232125181
   
   

SENATELPR's Poll-based
Analysis
Market-basedAnalyst-based
CookInside ElectionsSabatoReal Clear Politics
SEATS DEM REP TIE DEM REP TIE DEM REP Toss Up DEM REP Toss Up DEM REP Toss Up DEM REP Toss Up
Currently Favored
Projected Seats
Win Probability
4852
49.150.9 
10.0%66.7%23.3%
5050 
50.949.1 
57.9%23.3%18.8%
48457
51.348.7 
73.3%8.0%18.8%
50482
50.749.3 
57.8%13.7%28.5%
50491
50.849.2 
57.9%15.3%26.8%
45468
49.450.6 
22.8%53.3%23.9%